Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.003155 0.003307 0.003462 0.003631 0.003813 0.004001 0.004211
2025-04-13 0.002804 0.003021 0.003252 0.003514 0.003807 0.004124 0.004494
2025-04-20 0.002645 0.002905 0.003187 0.003519 0.003899 0.004324 0.004838
2025-04-27 0.002554 0.002849 0.003177 0.003570 0.004034 0.004566 0.005229
2025-05-04 0.002431 0.002745 0.003100 0.003535 0.004058 0.004671 0.005455
2025-05-11 0.002332 0.002662 0.003041 0.003513 0.004091 0.004783 0.005688
2025-05-18 0.002244 0.002586 0.002985 0.003488 0.004115 0.004881 0.005903
2025-05-25 0.002206 0.002568 0.002995 0.003542 0.004236 0.005099 0.006279
2025-06-01 0.002141 0.002512 0.002955 0.003531 0.004272 0.005210 0.006516
2025-06-08 0.002072 0.002450 0.002905 0.003503 0.004283 0.005286 0.006708
2025-06-15 0.001997 0.002375 0.002836 0.003449 0.004256 0.005308 0.006825
2025-06-22 0.001931 0.002311 0.002778 0.003403 0.004238 0.005341 0.006955
2025-06-29 0.001888 0.002275 0.002754 0.003404 0.004282 0.005460 0.007214
2025-07-06 0.001801 0.002179 0.002652 0.003297 0.004177 0.005368 0.007166
2025-07-13 0.001766 0.002150 0.002634 0.003301 0.004222 0.005486 0.007428
2025-07-20 0.001751 0.002146 0.002648 0.003348 0.004328 0.005694 0.007833
2025-07-27 0.001705 0.002100 0.002605 0.003316 0.004320 0.005737 0.007988
2025-08-03 0.001666 0.002062 0.002572 0.003296 0.004328 0.005803 0.008181
2025-08-10 0.001629 0.002025 0.002539 0.003273 0.004331 0.005860 0.008362
2025-08-17 0.001620 0.002026 0.002556 0.003323 0.004440 0.006078 0.008811
2025-08-24 0.001590 0.001997 0.002532 0.003312 0.004460 0.006163 0.009046
2025-08-31 0.001555 0.001961 0.002499 0.003287 0.004456 0.006210 0.009220
2025-09-07 0.001514 0.001915 0.002449 0.003237 0.004414 0.006194 0.009285